yuqw (at) umich (dot) edu | 1830 East Hall | Google Scholar | arXiv

Picture of me I am an applied probabilist studying dynamic decision making under incomplete information. I work on stochastic control, optimal stopping and stochastic games to understand how agents learn hidden states, decide when to act, and behave strategically under uncertainty. My work is often motivated by applications in statistics, finance and operations research.

I am currently a Byrne Research Assistant Professor at the Department of mathematics at University of Michigan, mentored by Erhan Bayraktar. I received my PhD degree from the Department of mathematics at Uppsala University under the supervision of Erik Ekström. An introduction to my thesis can be downloaded here.

I am on the 2026–27 academic job market.

Publications and preprints

  • 2026
    Convex order and preservation of convexity for Bayesian posterior updates,
    Submitted.
  • 2026
    Tractable bank capital structure: optimal control under Basel III constraints,
    Submitted.
  • 2026
    The relative efficiency of sequential tests, with Erik Ekström and Henri Doerks. [arXiv]
    Submitted.
  • 2025
    Thompson Sampling Algorithm for Stochastic Games, with Asaf Cohen and Ruolan He. [arXiv]
    Submitted.
  • 2025
    On hypoellipticity of degenerate operators in testing and detection problems , with Erhan Bayraktar. [arXiv]
    Submitted.
  • 2026
    Dynkin ghost games with asymmetry and consolation, with Erik Ekström. [DOI]
    SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization Vol. 64, Iss. 3 (2026).
  • 2023
    Asymptotic mean value formulas, nonlocal space-time parabolic operators and anomalous tug-of-war games, with Carmina Fjellström and Kaj Nyström. [DOI]
    Journal of Differential Equations 342C (2023) pp. 150-178.
  • 2023
    Stopping problems with an unknown state, with Erik Ekström. [DOI]
    Journal of Applied Probability (2023) pp. 1 - 14
  • 2022
    Bayesian sequential composite hypothesis testing in discrete time, with Erik Ekström. [DOI]
    ESAIM: PS 26 (2022) 265–282.
  • 2021
    Multi-dimensional sequential testing and detection, with Erik Ekström. [DOI]
    Stochastics, 94:5, 789-806 (2021).

Conference talks

Local and Fun talks

  • Title: On hypoellipticity of degenerate operators in testing and detection problems (Feb 2026, Michigan) [Slides]
  • Title: Football vs. table tennis: which is the better sport? (Sept 2024, Michigan)
  • Title: The tale of a coin flipper with OCD. (Nov 2021, Uppsala) [Slides]
  • Title: The grading problem and optimal stopping. (Feb 2021, Matematikseminariet Uppsala) [Notes]
  • Title: How to walk home tipsy: from random walks to PDEs. (Dec 2020, Uppsala) [Notes]
  • Title: Gambling against randomness: how to know when to stop. (Dec 2019, Uppsala)